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IntermediateStock Alerts + Tools0:45Macro

Two Thirds of the Economy

Consumption dominates GDP, so retail sales is one of the few monthly numbers that genuinely tracks the whole economy.

0:45 · 6 scenes

This lesson is part of a Stock Alerts + Tools plan.

What the lesson covers

  1. 0:00Consumer spending is about two thirds of the American economy.
  2. 0:05The control group. Strip out cars, fuel and building materials and you get the cleaner signal.
  3. 0:14The inflation problem. The headline is in dollars, so rising prices can look like rising demand.
  4. 0:23What supports spending. Income, savings and credit. When income stalls, the other two carry it briefly.
  5. 0:32The warning pattern. Spending holding up on falling savings and rising credit is borrowed time.
  6. 0:40Read the control group, in real terms, alongside savings.
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Educational content only. MadStockAlerts provides market commentary, research, and educational content. It is not personalized investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including loss of capital. See the Risk Disclosure and Customer Agreement.
Educational content only. MadStockAlerts provides market commentary, research, and educational content. It is not personalized investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including loss of capital. See the Risk Disclosure and Customer Agreement.
Two Thirds of the Economy — MAD Academy Training Video · MadStockAlerts