IntermediateStock Alerts + Tools0:45Macro
The Inflation Policy Cannot Fix
A supply shock raises prices and lowers output at the same time, which is the one combination interest rates cannot solve.
0:45 · 6 scenes
This lesson is part of a Stock Alerts + Tools plan.
What the lesson covers
- 0:00A supply shock raises prices and cuts output at once. Rates cannot fix both.
- 0:05Two kinds of inflation. Inflation driven by demand arrives with growth; inflation driven by supply arrives with weakness.
- 0:15The dilemma. Raise rates and you deepen the slowdown. Hold and inflation may become expected.
- 0:24Oil's reach. Oil is an input to transport, plastics, fertiliser and food. It spreads everywhere.
- 0:32What central banks actually watch. Whether people start expecting high inflation to continue. That is the line.
- 0:40Ask whether the inflation came from demand or from supply.
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