AdvancedPremium0:57The Platform
A Model Is an Argument
Scenario Analysis produces a value per share from assumptions you supply, which decides exactly what that number can and cannot be used for.
0:57 · 7 scenes
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What the Lesson Covers
- 0:00The tab does the arithmetic. Every assumption in it is yours.
- 0:05Where it starts. The last filed year, carried forward flat. No estimate of ours is in it.
- 0:14What the output is. A consequence of your inputs. Change one and the whole page changes with it.
- 0:24Three methods, on purpose. Where the three agree the answer is robust. Where they scatter, that is the finding.
- 0:33The check that bites. How much of the value sits after the forecast, rather than inside it.
- 0:43Turning it around. The reverse solve asks what growth today's price already assumes.
- 0:52The assumptions decide the answer. Defend those, not the number.
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Educational content only. MadStockAlerts provides market commentary, research, and educational content. It is not personalized investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including loss of capital. See the Risk Disclosure and Customer Agreement.
Educational content only. MadStockAlerts provides market commentary, research, and educational content. It is not personalized investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including loss of capital. See the Risk Disclosure and Customer Agreement.